Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 403.180826 459.019335 521.387642 596.505587 684.910299 786.112703 911.400170
2025-09-14 312.819600 383.345318 469.435635 583.394579 731.979536 921.507601 1185.401981
2025-09-21 267.061043 343.394776 442.216869 581.695609 777.029348 1046.315041 1455.445303
2025-09-28 227.187666 302.762587 405.016023 556.592354 781.031622 1110.188940 1647.232722
2025-10-05 211.308862 291.231321 403.983213 579.198955 853.178931 1280.560324 2030.473045
2025-10-12 199.735118 283.690228 406.680400 606.238530 934.502978 1477.356263 2499.398740
2025-10-19 184.496444 268.667911 395.915557 610.056289 977.952667 1618.120943 2901.390426
2025-10-26 167.550455 249.083759 375.613200 595.185407 986.634657 1698.414180 3206.207513
2025-11-02 154.021356 233.387798 359.588347 584.990817 1001.188062 1790.632682 3555.651092
2025-11-09 147.266959 227.766116 359.164325 601.313020 1066.009423 1989.915491 4185.862035
2025-11-16 137.810774 216.784996 348.534989 597.801240 1092.076887 2115.389011 4681.467077
2025-11-23 128.656203 205.489829 336.213974 589.523681 1107.138908 2219.819903 5154.711558
2025-11-30 121.848835 197.846485 329.936745 592.675058 1147.667555 2391.871083 5867.758046
2025-12-07 113.438208 186.753353 316.494102 580.356132 1153.804687 2487.088999 6405.504495
2025-12-14 107.320312 179.216922 308.837805 578.630818 1182.769119 2642.889929 7175.694876
2025-12-21 98.833617 166.760068 290.894028 553.686580 1155.287175 2651.896382 7494.694873
2025-12-28 96.855241 166.070549 295.263042 576.151711 1242.076425 2977.208504 8984.384426
2026-01-04 95.433285 166.278344 301.344725 603.020799 1344.246673 3370.449559 10905.341096
2026-01-11 91.610621 161.614767 297.296666 606.814366 1389.123190 3611.443752 12373.437636
2026-01-18 86.224278 153.552281 285.692870 592.037550 1383.378855 3699.618802 13264.197613
2026-01-25 81.708518 146.903246 276.493058 581.907186 1388.672545 3824.318606 14382.572357
2026-02-01 79.938087 145.571864 278.287996 598.126457 1469.198099 4213.955650 16953.706345
2026-02-08 76.547341 140.749619 272.264446 594.636869 1493.433512 4421.191864 18764.957914